Tuesday, March 30, 2010

European Champions League Quarter Finals (Predictions and Tips)

30th March 2010

First of all, Bayern Munich take on Manchester United. This is a huge clash and in my opinion an even match despite the bookmakers favoring the away team. I think it is hugely based on reputation rather than true form. Don't get me wrong, Manchester United is running hot at the moment, but so is Bayern.

Bayern has won 9 of 10 of their last home games. Manchester on the other hand has not done very well away, winning 50% of their last 10. This is a huge clash and I think Man Utd would be happy to take a scoring draw. (i.e. 1-1, 2-2) Interesting stat is that these two teams have drawn 4 times the last 4 times they met. I would go for the draw for great odds and a highly probable result. 3.25@BET365

I would give the Lyon vs Bordeaux game a miss because it doesn't interest me. It is really difficult to tip these games where teams of the same league play each other in a European game. Lyon has the upper hand in home advantage but Bordeaux is top of the French Ligue.

Inter Milan face the underdogs CSKA Moscow and I am sure Mourinho would want to end the tie at home. Expect Inter to come out attacking and probably winning by 3 or 4 goals. Inter win 1.40@BET365 is still a decent return at 40%. For longer odds, go for Inter -1.

Lastly is Arsenal facing the mighty Barcelona. Being an Arsenal fan, I obviously would want them to win. However we all know the task is going to be very tough. Arsenal will likely be without Fabregas who they need sorely. Arshavin is not playing as well as he could and Bentdner alone is not going to trouble the Barca defense too much. However in saying that, Barcelona would be happy with a scoring draw and winning the tie at home. I expect Arsenal to defend and counter attack, maybe employing Walcott and Nasri on the wings and making long runs, or Eboue at right for his defensive qualities. Personally I like the draw, but Barcelona will win if Messi does his thing. Your choice.

SUMMARY:
Bayern vs Manchester United: DRAW
Inter Milan vs CSKA Moscow: INTER WIN, INTER-1
Arsenal vs Barcelona: Draw or Barcelona Win

Good luck

1 comment: